Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #647 of 1,000

P0095

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 1,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 497

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 503

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 414Deviation -R 3 088

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 503. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 307

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 082 to R 4 587
Finished ahead: 259 / 1,000 (25,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #463 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.514
Mean bets / session: 4.111
Loss multiplier: 1.0061×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,6% / 35,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 87360 wagers · RTP 73,37%

European RouletteR 1 92841 wagers · RTP 42,17%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 79617 wagers · RTP 44,97%

American RouletteR 66514 wagers · RTP 68,42%

Lottery / JackpotR 60313 wagers · RTP 44,78%

Virtual Sports BettingR 58713 wagers · RTP 59,56%

BaccaratR 53011 wagers · RTP 93,45%

BlackjackR 3507 wagers · RTP 64,00%

CrashR 2425 wagers · RTP 25,83%

Craps / DiceR 2365 wagers · RTP 72,88%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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