Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #642 of 1,000

P0096

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 14,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 576

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 424

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 504Deviation -R 2 920

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 424. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 056

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 984 to R 5 438
Finished ahead: 221 / 1,000 (22,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #550 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.841
Mean bets / session: 4.42
Loss multiplier: 1.003×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,1% / 55,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 21949 wagers · RTP 79,59%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 58035 wagers · RTP 37,53%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 41832 wagers · RTP 35,26%

Lottery / JackpotR 74917 wagers · RTP 9,35%

American RouletteR 74816 wagers · RTP 77,01%

Craps / DiceR 69116 wagers · RTP 59,04%

Virtual Sports BettingR 61114 wagers · RTP 112,43%

CrashR 53612 wagers · RTP 115,44%

BaccaratR 49511 wagers · RTP 76,77%

BlackjackR 45511 wagers · RTP 105,27%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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