Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #151 of 1,000

P0098

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 82,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 728

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 728

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 475Deviation R 1 203

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 728. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 189

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 837 to R 4 532
Finished ahead: 237 / 1,000 (23,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #452 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,50% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.69
Mean bets / session: 4.201
Loss multiplier: 1.0252×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,6% / 60,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 11242 wagers · RTP 110,46%

European RouletteR 1 55031 wagers · RTP 105,16%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 48730 wagers · RTP 77,91%

BlackjackR 84517 wagers · RTP 96,69%

Lottery / JackpotR 78215 wagers · RTP 15,09%

Craps / DiceR 64913 wagers · RTP 58,86%

American RouletteR 63313 wagers · RTP 468,56%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 50410 wagers · RTP 10,71%

CrashR 49010 wagers · RTP 139,54%

BaccaratR 4589 wagers · RTP 20,86%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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