Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #137 of 1,000

P0099

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 88,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 11 112

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 112

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 215Deviation R 1 326

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 1 112. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 534

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 671 to R 2 332
Finished ahead: 308 / 1,000 (30,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #361 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,31% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.065
Mean bets / session: 3.004
Loss multiplier: 1.0053×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 51,6% / 47,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 10135 wagers · RTP 220,98%

CrashR 86728 wagers · RTP 78,37%

Three-Reel SlotR 84827 wagers · RTP 186,85%

American RouletteR 46915 wagers · RTP 99,15%

Craps / DiceR 40913 wagers · RTP 90,95%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 38912 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 38112 wagers · RTP 87,12%

BlackjackR 31710 wagers · RTP 90,22%

BaccaratR 2508 wagers · RTP 87,50%

Lottery / JackpotR 2287 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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