Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #470 of 1,000

P0100

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 35,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 415

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 585

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 428Deviation -R 1 157

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 585. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 206

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 523 to R 1 991
Finished ahead: 178 / 1,000 (17,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #452 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.192
Mean bets / session: 4.187
Loss multiplier: 1.0003×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,8% / 37,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 30947 wagers · RTP 56,00%

European RouletteR 1 24644 wagers · RTP 62,12%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 16841 wagers · RTP 15,07%

Virtual Sports BettingR 64323 wagers · RTP 91,03%

CrashR 61622 wagers · RTP 131,41%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 38014 wagers · RTP 41,84%

BlackjackR 36913 wagers · RTP 102,44%

American RouletteR 36113 wagers · RTP 279,22%

BaccaratR 33012 wagers · RTP 107,15%

Craps / DiceR 31111 wagers · RTP 55,31%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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