Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #296 of 1,000

P0101

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 0,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 700

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 300

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 38Deviation -R 262

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 300. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 100

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 230 to R 183
Finished ahead: 195 / 1,000 (19,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #263 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,20% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.539
Mean bets / session: 1.17
Loss multiplier: 1.0072×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,5% / 46,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 1608 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 603 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 402 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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