Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #335 of 1,000

P0102

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 12,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 539

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 461

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 62Deviation -R 399

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 461. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 215

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 558 to R 602
Finished ahead: 227 / 1,000 (22,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #292 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.426
Mean bets / session: 2.863
Loss multiplier: 1.021×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,2% / 56,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 27410 wagers · RTP 98,91%

Lottery / JackpotR 1917 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1636 wagers · RTP 84,05%

CrashR 813 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 803 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 522 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 271 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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