Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #333 of 1,000

P0104

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 63,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 545

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 455

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 122Deviation -R 333

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 455. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 602

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 268 to R 1 347
Finished ahead: 171 / 1,000 (17,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #372 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.636
Mean bets / session: 2.53
Loss multiplier: 1.0218×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,7% / 49,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 67812 wagers · RTP 125,07%

Lottery / JackpotR 3967 wagers · RTP 29,29%

CrashR 1733 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1703 wagers · RTP 62,44%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1663 wagers · RTP 34,94%

American RouletteR 1172 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1172 wagers · RTP 150,43%

BlackjackR 581 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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