Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #302 of 1,000

P0105

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 54,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 680

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 320

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 64Deviation -R 256

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 320. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 353

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 831 to R 838
Finished ahead: 190 / 1,000 (19,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #327 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.552
Mean bets / session: 1.904
Loss multiplier: 1.0267×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,0% / 59,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2485 wagers · RTP 50,20%

BaccaratR 2405 wagers · RTP 117,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1964 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1874 wagers · RTP 206,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 952 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 491 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 491 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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