Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #288 of 1,000

P0106

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 45,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 728

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 272

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 65Deviation -R 207

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 272. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 249

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 529 to R 570
Finished ahead: 155 / 1,000 (15,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #301 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.521
Mean bets / session: 2.455
Loss multiplier: 1.0281×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,5% / 53,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 2028 wagers · RTP 25,74%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1978 wagers · RTP 12,69%

BaccaratR 1948 wagers · RTP 111,86%

Virtual Sports BettingR 743 wagers · RTP 142,55%

Three-Reel SlotR 733 wagers · RTP 86,30%

European RouletteR 723 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 713 wagers · RTP 103,52%

American RouletteR 502 wagers · RTP 150,00%

Craps / DiceR 382 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 221 wagers · RTP 500,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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