Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #383 of 1,000

P0108

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 24,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 268

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 732

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 99Deviation -R 633

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 732. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 468

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 092 to R 975
Finished ahead: 174 / 1,000 (17,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #348 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.537
Mean bets / session: 2.463
Loss multiplier: 1.0153×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,5% / 49,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 2775 wagers · RTP 40,43%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2545 wagers · RTP 22,35%

European RouletteR 2214 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2014 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1563 wagers · RTP 129,49%

BaccaratR 1092 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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