Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #325 of 1,000

P0109

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 42,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 584

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 416

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 102Deviation -R 314

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 416. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 348

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 849 to R 822
Finished ahead: 215 / 1,000 (21,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #323 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.586
Mean bets / session: 2.825
Loss multiplier: 1.0128×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,3% / 52,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 38211 wagers · RTP 141,91%

Lottery / JackpotR 35310 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 33010 wagers · RTP 47,20%

BlackjackR 1966 wagers · RTP 150,26%

Three-Reel SlotR 1434 wagers · RTP 25,87%

European RouletteR 371 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 371 wagers · RTP 175,78%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 361 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 361 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 321 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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