Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #316 of 1,000

P0111

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 24,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 630

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 371

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 45Deviation -R 325

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 371. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 205

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 543 to R 764
Finished ahead: 232 / 1,000 (23,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #290 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,45% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.507
Mean bets / session: 1.302
Loss multiplier: 1.0145×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,5% / 42,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1764 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1764 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1323 wagers · RTP 68,18%

BaccaratR 902 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 451 wagers · RTP 250,00%

CrashR 441 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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