Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #365 of 1,000

P0112

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 7,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 400

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 600

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 74Deviation -R 526

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 600. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 253

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 636 to R 721
Finished ahead: 210 / 1,000 (21,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #304 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.416
Mean bets / session: 1.365
Loss multiplier: 1.0105×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,0% / 34,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 2735 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2254 wagers · RTP 97,07%

American RouletteR 1713 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 581 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 561 wagers · RTP 125,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 551 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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