Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #337 of 1,000

P0113

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 32,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 537

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 463

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 47Deviation -R 416

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 463. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 362

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 848 to R 526
Finished ahead: 177 / 1,000 (17,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #326 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.301
Mean bets / session: 2.989
Loss multiplier: 1.0121×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,4% / 50,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 1663 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1603 wagers · RTP 30,63%

BaccaratR 1583 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1032 wagers · RTP 104,85%

European RouletteR 551 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 551 wagers · RTP 139,85%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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