Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #341 of 1,000

P0114

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 44,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 497

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 503

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 66Deviation -R 436

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 503. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 459

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 997 to R 909
Finished ahead: 185 / 1,000 (18,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #341 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,41% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.636
Mean bets / session: 2.927
Loss multiplier: 1.0056×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,4% / 48,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 59815 wagers · RTP 40,43%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1985 wagers · RTP 19,70%

Craps / DiceR 1985 wagers · RTP 118,18%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1564 wagers · RTP 48,99%

BlackjackR 1243 wagers · RTP 216,94%

European RouletteR 1233 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1183 wagers · RTP 322,03%

American RouletteR 842 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 822 wagers · RTP 24,39%

CrashR 822 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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