Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #287 of 1,000

P0115

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 12,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 730

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 270

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 34Deviation -R 236

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 270. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 130

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 313 to R 375
Finished ahead: 232 / 1,000 (23,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #272 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.446
Mean bets / session: 1.326
Loss multiplier: 1.0114×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,2% / 33,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 1044 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 783 wagers · RTP 66,67%

BlackjackR 783 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 743 wagers · RTP 16,22%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 261 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 261 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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