Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #290 of 1,000

P0116

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 42,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 718

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 283

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 36Deviation -R 247

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 283. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 243

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 561 to R 492
Finished ahead: 167 / 1,000 (16,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #299 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.445
Mean bets / session: 2.163
Loss multiplier: 1.0205×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,3% / 48,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2659 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 903 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 883 wagers · RTP 150,57%

American RouletteR 602 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 602 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 592 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 291 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 291 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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