Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #194 of 1,000

P0120

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 92,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 191

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 191

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 90Deviation R 280

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 191. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 229

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 527 to R 344
Finished ahead: 180 / 1,000 (18,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #296 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.439
Mean bets / session: 1.31
Loss multiplier: 1.0078×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,8% / 34,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 3548 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2646 wagers · RTP 161,76%

American RouletteR 1313 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 882 wagers · RTP 500,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 441 wagers · RTP 280,89%

BlackjackR 431 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 411 wagers · RTP 500,00%

European RouletteR 401 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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