Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #320 of 1,000

P0121

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 4,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 593

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 407

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 52Deviation -R 355

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 407. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 163

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 397 to R 405
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #281 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,24% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.529
Mean bets / session: 1.429
Loss multiplier: 1.0089×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 33,7% / 41,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 1185 wagers · RTP 40,68%

BaccaratR 1165 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 703 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 472 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 472 wagers · RTP 25,53%

CrashR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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