Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #215 of 1,000

P0124

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 86,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 062

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 62

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 13Deviation R 74

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 62. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 71

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 230 to R 200
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #259 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.317
Mean bets / session: 1.23
Loss multiplier: 1.0241×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,9% / 37,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 562 wagers · RTP 162,50%

BaccaratR 281 wagers · RTP 195,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 281 wagers · RTP 300,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 281 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies