Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #240 of 1,000

P0127

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 60,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 930

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 70

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 18Deviation -R 52

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 70. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 97

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 258 to R 212
Finished ahead: 207 / 1,000 (20,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #264 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,20% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.461
Mean bets / session: 1.644
Loss multiplier: 1.0054×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,5% / 49,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 985 wagers · RTP 115,41%

Craps / DiceR 764 wagers · RTP 94,74%

Lottery / JackpotR 563 wagers · RTP 71,43%

CrashR 382 wagers · RTP 65,79%

BlackjackR 382 wagers · RTP 105,26%

European RouletteR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 181 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 181 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 161 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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