Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #235 of 1,000

P0128

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 80,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 967

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 33

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 30Deviation -R 3

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 33. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 177

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 404 to R 310
Finished ahead: 163 / 1,000 (16,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #282 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,24% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.441
Mean bets / session: 2.563
Loss multiplier: 1.0005×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 33,7% / 41,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 1386 wagers · RTP 127,68%

BaccaratR 1155 wagers · RTP 98,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 693 wagers · RTP 66,67%

American RouletteR 693 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 462 wagers · RTP 100,00%

European RouletteR 462 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 231 wagers · RTP 500,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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