Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #377 of 1,000

P0130

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 3,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 324

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 676

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 109Deviation -R 567

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 676. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 281

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 638 to R 297
Finished ahead: 141 / 1,000 (14,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #309 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.346
Mean bets / session: 2.675
Loss multiplier: 1.0189×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,2% / 48,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 45613 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2076 wagers · RTP 17,39%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1053 wagers · RTP 73,21%

BlackjackR 702 wagers · RTP 97,14%

American RouletteR 361 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 351 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 351 wagers · RTP 50,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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