Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #327 of 1,000

P0131

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 45,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 576

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 424

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 83Deviation -R 340

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 424. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 383

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 874 to R 881
Finished ahead: 206 / 1,000 (20,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #330 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,46% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.505
Mean bets / session: 2.313
Loss multiplier: 1.0298×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,5% / 56,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3528 wagers · RTP 158,24%

Lottery / JackpotR 2225 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2185 wagers · RTP 97,13%

Three-Reel SlotR 1774 wagers · RTP 36,16%

CrashR 1714 wagers · RTP 33,63%

American RouletteR 1303 wagers · RTP 63,08%

Virtual Sports BettingR 902 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 892 wagers · RTP 101,12%

Craps / DiceR 371 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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