Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #310 of 1,000

P0133

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 47,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 654

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 346

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 70Deviation -R 276

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 346. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 329

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 767 to R 479
Finished ahead: 184 / 1,000 (18,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #320 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.633
Mean bets / session: 1.479
Loss multiplier: 1.013×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,8% / 42,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3146 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2104 wagers · RTP 49,52%

European RouletteR 1553 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1553 wagers · RTP 213,08%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1042 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1042 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1042 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 521 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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