Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #212 of 1,000

P0134

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 81,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 075

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 75

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 51Deviation R 126

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 75. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 274

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 744 to R 803
Finished ahead: 225 / 1,000 (22,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #307 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,55% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.431
Mean bets / session: 1.96
Loss multiplier: 1.0049×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,6% / 32,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2755 wagers · RTP 79,42%

BlackjackR 2224 wagers · RTP 74,77%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1653 wagers · RTP 140,19%

Three-Reel SlotR 1102 wagers · RTP 126,36%

Lottery / JackpotR 1102 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1092 wagers · RTP 238,53%

Craps / DiceR 1072 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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