Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #182 of 1,000

P0135

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 91,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 312

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 312

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 17Deviation R 329

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 312. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 167

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 391 to R 510
Finished ahead: 205 / 1,000 (20,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #281 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,24% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.542
Mean bets / session: 1.957
Loss multiplier: 1.0243×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 34,4% / 40,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1205 wagers · RTP 110,42%

BaccaratR 723 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 482 wagers · RTP 68,83%

Craps / DiceR 462 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 241 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 241 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 241 wagers · RTP 1 800,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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