Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #300 of 1,000

P0137

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 37,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 689

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 311

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 107Deviation -R 204

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 311. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 218

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 631 to R 564
Finished ahead: 216 / 1,000 (21,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #297 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,52% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.288
Mean bets / session: 2.286
Loss multiplier: 1.0169×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,6% / 47,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 3607 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2044 wagers · RTP 150,00%

Craps / DiceR 1553 wagers · RTP 131,61%

American RouletteR 1543 wagers · RTP 99,35%

BlackjackR 1543 wagers · RTP 100,65%

European RouletteR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 511 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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