Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #311 of 1,000

P0139

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 31,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 651

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 349

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 62Deviation -R 287

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 349. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 215

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 603 to R 487
Finished ahead: 234 / 1,000 (23,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #294 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.478
Mean bets / session: 1.316
Loss multiplier: 1.0133×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,7% / 52,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3276 wagers · RTP 66,79%

Lottery / JackpotR 2194 wagers · RTP 104,11%

CrashR 1583 wagers · RTP 45,09%

Virtual Sports BettingR 571 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 571 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BlackjackR 561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 511 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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