Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #256 of 1,000

P0141

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 69,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 868

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 132

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 59Deviation -R 73

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 132. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 272

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 624 to R 554
Finished ahead: 198 / 1,000 (19,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #306 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,33% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.487
Mean bets / session: 2.407
Loss multiplier: 1.0298×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 33,0% / 50,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2317 wagers · RTP 28,57%

Lottery / JackpotR 1966 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1334 wagers · RTP 162,78%

BaccaratR 1304 wagers · RTP 102,00%

CrashR 642 wagers · RTP 575,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 622 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 341 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 341 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 311 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies