Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #180 of 1,000

P0143

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 92,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 318

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 318

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 122Deviation R 440

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 318. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 266

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 646 to R 636
Finished ahead: 186 / 1,000 (18,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #304 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.629
Mean bets / session: 1.948
Loss multiplier: 1.0048×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,0% / 55,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 45412 wagers · RTP 83,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 3409 wagers · RTP 22,35%

BaccaratR 3048 wagers · RTP 112,17%

American RouletteR 1524 wagers · RTP 123,68%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1153 wagers · RTP 216,59%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1113 wagers · RTP 333,33%

Three-Reel SlotR 772 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Craps / DiceR 772 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 772 wagers · RTP 246,75%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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