Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #178 of 1,000

P0145

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 92,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 330

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 330

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 35Deviation R 365

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 330. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 128

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 337 to R 469
Finished ahead: 245 / 1,000 (24,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #270 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,22% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.518
Mean bets / session: 1.81
Loss multiplier: 1.021×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,1% / 35,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1507 wagers · RTP 463,00%

European RouletteR 1095 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1035 wagers · RTP 113,59%

Lottery / JackpotR 814 wagers · RTP 49,38%

Craps / DiceR 673 wagers · RTP 62,69%

BlackjackR 643 wagers · RTP 134,38%

CrashR 613 wagers · RTP 65,57%

Virtual Sports BettingR 452 wagers · RTP 75,78%

American RouletteR 221 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 221 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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