Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #342 of 1,000

P0146

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 13,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 497

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 504

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 68Deviation -R 436

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 504. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 256

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 631 to R 543
Finished ahead: 221 / 1,000 (22,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #301 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.35
Mean bets / session: 1.424
Loss multiplier: 1.0238×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,5% / 59,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 2675 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1092 wagers · RTP 74,77%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1072 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1072 wagers · RTP 99,07%

Craps / DiceR 541 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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