Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #245 of 1,000

P0156

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 69,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 919

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 82

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 61Deviation -R 21

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 82. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 263

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 663 to R 551
Finished ahead: 243 / 1,000 (24,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #306 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.314
Mean bets / session: 1.536
Loss multiplier: 1.0088×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 37,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1573 wagers · RTP 292,36%

Three-Reel SlotR 1533 wagers · RTP 17,32%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1052 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1052 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 992 wagers · RTP 105,05%

BlackjackR 521 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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