Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #220 of 1,000

P0159

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 83,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 033

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 33

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 52Deviation R 85

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 33. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 204

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 538 to R 395
Finished ahead: 194 / 1,000 (19,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #288 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.354
Mean bets / session: 2.974
Loss multiplier: 1.0059×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,1% / 43,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1896 wagers · RTP 96,98%

CrashR 1575 wagers · RTP 39,49%

Lottery / JackpotR 1565 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1244 wagers · RTP 75,00%

European RouletteR 943 wagers · RTP 98,94%

American RouletteR 622 wagers · RTP 600,00%

Craps / DiceR 622 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 321 wagers · RTP 135,97%

BlackjackR 311 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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