Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #274 of 1,000

P0163

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 52,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 801

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 199

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 85Deviation -R 114

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 199. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 222

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 580 to R 381
Finished ahead: 231 / 1,000 (23,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #292 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.463
Mean bets / session: 1.99
Loss multiplier: 1.0103×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 47,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 2528 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1174 wagers · RTP 238,46%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 953 wagers · RTP 33,68%

BlackjackR 943 wagers · RTP 65,96%

European RouletteR 582 wagers · RTP 134,48%

Virtual Sports BettingR 311 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 311 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 281 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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