Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #367 of 1,000

P0165

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 40,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 393

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 607

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 78Deviation -R 529

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 607. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 502

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 101 to R 1 171
Finished ahead: 208 / 1,000 (20,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #353 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.505
Mean bets / session: 2.458
Loss multiplier: 1.028×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 32,5% / 52,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3346 wagers · RTP 132,93%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1733 wagers · RTP 75,53%

Lottery / JackpotR 1693 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1673 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1623 wagers · RTP 66,67%

Craps / DiceR 1182 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1082 wagers · RTP 50,93%

American RouletteR 581 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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