Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #318 of 1,000

P0166

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 20,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 608

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 392

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 32Deviation -R 360

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 392. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 240

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 538 to R 624
Finished ahead: 166 / 1,000 (16,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #302 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,25% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.619
Mean bets / session: 2.141
Loss multiplier: 1.018×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 33,9% / 55,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2169 wagers · RTP 131,81%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1205 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 974 wagers · RTP 42,88%

European RouletteR 964 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 723 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 502 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 462 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 251 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 241 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BlackjackR 201 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies