Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #253 of 1,000

P0167

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 68,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 883

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 117

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 32Deviation -R 85

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 117. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 232

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 527 to R 472
Finished ahead: 176 / 1,000 (17,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #296 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,27% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.612
Mean bets / session: 2.379
Loss multiplier: 1.0172×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,3% / 52,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 1586 wagers · RTP 118,35%

BlackjackR 1566 wagers · RTP 182,05%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1305 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1044 wagers · RTP 99,38%

Three-Reel SlotR 773 wagers · RTP 33,77%

Craps / DiceR 763 wagers · RTP 68,42%

Lottery / JackpotR 512 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 271 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 271 wagers · RTP 136,52%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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