Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #298 of 1,000

P0169

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 59,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 694

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 306

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 149Deviation -R 158

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 306. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 425

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 137 to R 881
Finished ahead: 236 / 1,000 (23,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #340 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.455
Mean bets / session: 2.264
Loss multiplier: 1.0103×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,1% / 40,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 3777 wagers · RTP 29,71%

CrashR 3226 wagers · RTP 84,70%

American RouletteR 2164 wagers · RTP 126,39%

Three-Reel SlotR 1673 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1122 wagers · RTP 200,00%

European RouletteR 1102 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1092 wagers · RTP 158,50%

BaccaratR 1082 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 541 wagers · RTP 500,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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