Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #233 of 1,000

P0171

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 63,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 969

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 31

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 16Deviation -R 15

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 31. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 61

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 182 to R 203
Finished ahead: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #256 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,30% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.276
Mean bets / session: 1.018
Loss multiplier: 1.0233×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,3% / 57,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Virtual Sports BettingR 602 wagers · RTP 65,90%

Three-Reel SlotR 572 wagers · RTP 24,56%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 562 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 301 wagers · RTP 195,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 301 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 301 wagers · RTP 200,00%

BlackjackR 281 wagers · RTP 100,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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