Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #241 of 1,000

P0174

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 76,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 923

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 77

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 62Deviation -R 14

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 77. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 360

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 871 to R 713
Finished ahead: 187 / 1,000 (18,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #324 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.557
Mean bets / session: 1.82
Loss multiplier: 1.0138×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,5% / 37,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 76914 wagers · RTP 92,20%

Craps / DiceR 1623 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1162 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1112 wagers · RTP 153,41%

Lottery / JackpotR 1112 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1082 wagers · RTP 147,22%

European RouletteR 571 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 571 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 521 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies