Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #228 of 1,000

P0176

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 83,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 999

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 39Deviation R 38

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 141

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 331 to R 395
Finished ahead: 159 / 1,000 (15,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #274 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,23% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.263
Mean bets / session: 2.838
Loss multiplier: 1.0117×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,5% / 41,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2049 wagers · RTP 98,26%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1577 wagers · RTP 28,66%

Lottery / JackpotR 1135 wagers · RTP 40,71%

Three-Reel SlotR 462 wagers · RTP 25,00%

BlackjackR 462 wagers · RTP 100,00%

CrashR 462 wagers · RTP 350,00%

American RouletteR 442 wagers · RTP 429,55%

Craps / DiceR 231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 211 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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