Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #309 of 1,000

P0179

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 43,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 658

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 342

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 130Deviation -R 212

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 342. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 293

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 720 to R 507
Finished ahead: 187 / 1,000 (18,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #312 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.506
Mean bets / session: 2.24
Loss multiplier: 1.0192×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,7% / 49,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 39711 wagers · RTP 36,78%

BaccaratR 2517 wagers · RTP 114,34%

Three-Reel SlotR 2046 wagers · RTP 58,33%

CrashR 1424 wagers · RTP 239,44%

Craps / DiceR 1304 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1083 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 732 wagers · RTP 100,00%

American RouletteR 682 wagers · RTP 145,59%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 331 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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