Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #363 of 1,000

P0180

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 20,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 406

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 594

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 125Deviation -R 469

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 594. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 363

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 831 to R 406
Finished ahead: 143 / 1,000 (14,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #327 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.403
Mean bets / session: 2.662
Loss multiplier: 1.0005×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 34,0% / 39,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 53113 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 3749 wagers · RTP 110,31%

Craps / DiceR 1293 wagers · RTP 66,67%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1263 wagers · RTP 55,04%

BlackjackR 792 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 411 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 401 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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