Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #347 of 1,000

P0181

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 17,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 465

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 535

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 76Deviation -R 459

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 535. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 274

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 704 to R 982
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #307 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.603
Mean bets / session: 1.623
Loss multiplier: 1.0251×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 41,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 3097 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2215 wagers · RTP 76,76%

Craps / DiceR 1774 wagers · RTP 151,41%

European RouletteR 892 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 882 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 451 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 441 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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