Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #328 of 1,000

P0182

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 21,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 575

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 425

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 50Deviation -R 375

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 425. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 245

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 607 to R 788
Finished ahead: 228 / 1,000 (22,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #300 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.517
Mean bets / session: 1.947
Loss multiplier: 1.0169×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,0% / 39,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2166 wagers · RTP 50,00%

American RouletteR 1434 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1434 wagers · RTP 99,30%

Lottery / JackpotR 1093 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 722 wagers · RTP 175,00%

CrashR 722 wagers · RTP 62,50%

Virtual Sports BettingR 712 wagers · RTP 69,92%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 351 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 351 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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