Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #286 of 1,000

P0184

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 54,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 733

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 267

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 50Deviation -R 217

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 267. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 328

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 994 to R 832
Finished ahead: 257 / 1,000 (25,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #321 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.264
Mean bets / session: 2.754
Loss multiplier: 1.0135×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,7% / 57,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 1743 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 581 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 581 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 571 wagers · RTP 235,74%

BaccaratR 541 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies