Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #303 of 1,000

P0185

Small bets, infrequent. The visible result sits at the 38,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 675

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 325

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 44Deviation -R 281

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 325. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 257

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 589 to R 786
Finished ahead: 218 / 1,000 (21,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #303 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.644
Mean bets / session: 1.637
Loss multiplier: 1.0004×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,1% / 58,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2818 wagers · RTP 110,66%

CrashR 1384 wagers · RTP 49,28%

Lottery / JackpotR 1083 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1063 wagers · RTP 66,04%

Craps / DiceR 1043 wagers · RTP 134,62%

Virtual Sports BettingR 712 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 712 wagers · RTP 98,59%

European RouletteR 702 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 351 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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